An empirical and dynamic tool for prediction of forest fire spread using remote sensing and machine learning technique | UniSC | University of the Sunshine Coast, Queensland, Australia

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An empirical and dynamic tool for prediction of forest fire spread using remote sensing and machine learning technique

Primary goal

Map fire risk probability, predict fire points and model fire spread across flammable forest areas in Australia to develop a fire risk probability model using a two-step analytic hierarchy process approach with cross-validations of support vector machine model outputs.

Key outcomes

  1. A fire risk probability model will be developed using a two-step analytic hierarchy process approach, with cross validation of support vector machine (SVM) model outputs.
  2. Fire points will be predicted using an SVM model, incorporating data layers such as elevation, slope, aspect, soil moisture, land surface temperature, and vegetation type for training.
  3. Meteorological data from a Weather Research and Forecasting model will be integrated into the fire spread model to enhance prediction accuracy.

Progress

This project commenced in 2022 and was completed in July 2025.

Lead researchers

Project funded by

SmartSat Cooperative Research Centre

Sustainable Development Goals

This project works towards these UN Sustainable Development Goals:

  • SDG 9: Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure
  • SDG 15: Life on Land

Learn more about this project.